HEALTH EMERGENCY – PUBLICATIONS LIST

Health Emergencies Center — FBK

Publications List

• The decline of the 2022 Italian mpox epidemic: Role of behavior changes and control strategies. Nature Communications volume 15, Article number: 2283 (2024)
  Giorgio Guzzetta, Valentina Marziano, Alessia Mammone, Andrea Siddu, Federica Ferraro, Anna Caraglia, Francesco Maraglino, Giovanni Rezza, Alessandro Vespignani, Ira Longini, Marco Ajelli & Stefano Merler.
  URL Article on Nature Communications

• Estimating the potential risk of transmission of arboviruses in the Americas and Europe: a modelling study. THE LANCET. PLANETARY HEALTH (2024), Vol.1, Zardini, Agnese; Menegale, Francesco; Gobbi, Andrea; Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; D’Andrea, Valeria; Marziano, Valentina; Trentini, Filippo; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Caputo, Beniamino; Solimini, Angelo; Marques-Toledo, Cecilia; Wilke, André B B; Rosà, Roberto; Marini, Giovanni; Arnoldi, Daniele; Pastore y Piontti, Ana; Pugliese, Andrea; Capelli, Gioia; della Torre, Alessandra; Teixeira, Mauro M; Beier, John C; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Vespignani, Alessandro; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Poletti, Piero.DOI: 10.1016/S2542-5196(23)00252-8
  URL: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanplh/article/PIIS2542-5196(23)00252-8/fulltext

• A 12-month follow-up of the immune response to SARS-CoV-2 primary vaccination: evidence from a real-world study. FRONTIERS IN IMMUNOLOGY (Nov 2023) 20:14:1272119. Fedele, Giorgio; Schiavoni, Ilaria; Trentini, Filippo; Leone, Pasqualina; Olivetta, Eleonora; Fallucca, Alessandra; Fiore, Stefano; Di Martino, Angela; Abrignani, Sergio; Baldo, Vincenzo; Baldovin, Tatjana; Bandera, Alessandra; Clerici, Pierangelo; De Paschale, Massimo; Diaco, Fabiana; Domnich, Alexander; Fortunato, Francesca; Giberti, Irene; Gori, Andrea; Grifantini, Renata; Lazzarotto, Tiziana; Lodi, Vittorio; Mastroianni, Claudio Maria; Prato, Rosa; Restivo, Vincenzo; Vitale, Francesco; Brusaferro, Silvio; Merler, Stefano; Palamara, Anna Teresa; Stefanelli, Paola.
  DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2023.1272119.
  URL: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fimmu.2023.1272119/full
• Reconstructing the impact of COVID-19 on the immunity gap and transmission of respiratory syncytial virus in Lombardy, Italy. EBIOMEDICINE (Sep 2023), VOL.95,104745. Ang, Hadrian Jules; Menegale, Francesco; Preziosi, Giuseppe; Pariani, Elena; Migliari, Maurizio; Pellegrinelli, Laura; Sechi, Giuseppe Maria; Buoro, Sabrina; Merler, Stefano; Cereda, Danilo; Tirani, Marcello; Poletti, Piero; Dorigatti, Ilaria.
  DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104745
  URL: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/ebiom/article/PIIS2352-3964(23)00310-9/fulltext
• Estimates of Serial Interval and Reproduction Number of Sudan Virus, Uganda, August-November 2022. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 01 Jul 2023, 29(7):1429-1432. Marziano, Valentina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Longini, Ira; Merler, Stefano.
  DOI: 10.3201/eid2907.221718
  URL: https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/29/7/22-1718_article
• Enhancing global preparedness during an ongoing pandemic from partial and noisy data. PNAS NEXUS (2023 Jun 7);2(6): pgad192.  Klamser, Pascal P; D’Andrea, Valeria; Di Lauro, Francesco; Zachariae, Adrian; Bontorin, Sebastiano; Di Nardo, Antonello; Hall, Matthew; Maier, Benjamin F; Ferretti, Luca; Brockmann, Dirk; De Domenico, ManlioDOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad192
  DOI: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad192
  URL: https://academic.oup.com/pnasnexus/article/2/6/pgad192/7191545
• Dynamics of a single-strain and two-strain respiratory infection driven by travel on a metapopulation network. NONLINEAR DYNAMICS (Oct 2023)VOL.111(22) 1:19 Indrajit, Ghosh; Sheikh, Shahid Nadim; Soumyendu, Raha; Debnath, Pal.
  DOI:10.1007/s11071-023-08952-3
  URL: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11071-023-08952-3
• Model-based evaluation of alternative reactive class closure strategies against COVID-19. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2022), Vol. 13(1), pp. 322. Liu, Quan-Hui; Zhang, Juanjuan; Peng, Cheng; Litvinova, Maria; Huang, Shudong; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marziano, Valentina; Zhou, Tao; Viboud, Cecile; Bento, Ana I; Lv, Jiancheng; Vespignani, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Yu, Hongjie; Ajelli, Marco. IF: 14.919
  DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27939-5
  URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-27939-5.
• COVID-19 response: effectiveness of weekly rapid risk assessments, Italy. BULLETIN OF THE WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION (2022), Vol. 100(2), pp. 161-167—167. Riccardo, Flavia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Urdiales, Alberto Mateo; Del Manso, Martina; Andrianou, Xanthi D; Bella, Antonino; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Carbone, Simona; De Vito, Tiziana; Maraglino, Francesco; Demicheli, Vittorio; Dario, Claudio; Coscioni, Enrico; Rezza, Giovanni; Urbani, Andrea; Merler, Stefano; Brusaferro, Silvio. IF: 9.408
  DOI: 10.2471/BLT.21.286317
  URL: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8795855/.
• The risk of symptomatic infection during a second COVID-19 wave, in SARS-CoV-2 seropositive individuals. CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2022), Vol. 74, pp. 893—896. Manica, Mattia; Pancheri, Serena; Poletti, Piero; Giovanazzi, Giulia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Ajelli, Marco; Zuccali, Maria Grazia; Benetollo, Pier Paolo; Merler, Stefano; Ferro, Antonio. IF: 9.079 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciab556
  URL: https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciab556/6301134?login=true.
• Co-circulation of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Gamma variants in Italy, February and March 2021. EUROSURVEILLANCE (2022), Vol. 27(5). Stefanelli, Paola; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marziano, Valentina; Mammone, Alessia; Sane Schepisi, Monica; Poletti, Piero; Molina Grané, Carla; Manica, Mattia; Del Manso, Martina; Andrianou, Xanthi; Ajelli, Marco; Rezza, Giovanni; Brusaferro, Silvio; Merler, Stefano. IF: 6.307
  DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.5.2100429URL: https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.5.2100429.
• Is Côte D’Ivoire a new high hybridization zone for the two major malaria vectors, Anopheles coluzzii and An. gambiae (Diptera, Culicidae)? INFECTION GENETICS AND EVOLUTION (2022), Vol. 98, pp. 105215. Caputo, Beniamino; Tondossoma, Naminata; Virgillito, Chiara; Pichler, Verena; Serini, Paola; Calzetta, Maria; Manica, Mattia; Coulibaly, Zanakoungo Ibrahim; Dia, Ibrahima; Akré, Maurice Adja; Offianan, Andre; Torre, Alessandra Della.
  DOI: 10.1016/j.meegid.2022.105215
• Characterizing the transmission patterns of seasonal influenza in Italy: lessons from the last decade. BMC PUBLIC HEALTH (2022), Vol. 22(1), pp. 19. Trentini, Filippo; Pariani, Elena; Bella, Antonino; Diurno, Giulio; Crottogini, Lucia; Rizzo, Caterina; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco.IF: 3.295 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-021-12426-9
  URL: https://bmcpublichealth.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12889-021-12426-9.
• Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave. NATURE (2021), Vol. 600, pp. 127—132. Davis, Jessica T; Chinazzi, Matteo; Perra, Nicola; Mu, Kunpeng; Piontti, Ana Pastore Y; Ajelli, Marco; Dean, Natalie E; Gioannini, Corrado; Litvinova, Maria; Merler, Stefano; Rossi, Luca; Sun, Kaiyuan; Xiong, Xinyue; Longini, Ira M; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Viboud, Cécile; Vespignani, Alessandro.IF: 49.962
  DOI: 10.1038/s41586-021-04130-w
  URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-04130-w.
• Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021), Vol. 12(1), pp. 323. Mistry, Dina; Litvinova, Maria; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Chinazzi, Matteo; Fumanelli, Laura; Gomes, Marcelo F C; Haque, Syed A; Liu, Quan-Hui; Mu, Kunpeng; Xiong, Xinyue; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Vespignani, Alessandro.
  IF: 14.919
  DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-20544-y
  URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-020-20544-y.
• Impact of tiered restrictions on human activities and the epidemiology of the second wave of COVID-19 in Italy. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021), Vol. 12(1), pp. 4570. Manica, Mattia; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Valenti, Antonio; Poletti, Piero; Marziano, Valentina; Trentini, Filippo; Andrianou, Xanthi; Mateo-Urdiales, Alberto; Del Manso, Martina; Fabiani, Massimo; Vescio, Maria Fenicia; Spuri, Matteo; Petrone, Daniele; Bella, Antonino; Iavicoli, Sergio; Ajelli, Marco; Brusaferro, Silvio; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Merler, Stefano.IF: 14.919
  DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-24832-zURL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-24832-z.
• The effect of COVID-19 vaccination in Italy and perspectives for living with the virus. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS (2021), Vol. 12(1), pp. 7272. Marziano, Valentina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Mammone, Alessia; Riccardo, Flavia; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Manica, Mattia; Siddu, Andrea; Bella, Antonino; Stefanelli, Paola; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Ajelli, Marco; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Merler, Stefano. IF: 14.919
  OI: 10.1038/s41467-021-27532-w
  URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-021-27532-w.
• Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021. NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR (2021), pp. 1009—1020. Yang, Juan; Marziano, Valentina; Deng, Xiaowei; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Zhang, Juanjuan; Trentini, Filippo; Cai, Jun; Poletti, Piero; Zheng, Wen; Wang, Wei; Wu, Qianhui; Zhao, Zeyao; Dong, Kaige; Zhong, Guangjie; Viboud, Cécile; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie.IF: 13.663
  DOI: 10.1038/s41562-021-01155-z
  URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-021-01155-z.
• Retrospective analysis of the Italian exit strategy from COVID-19 lockdown. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2021), Vol. 118(4), pp. e2019617118. Marziano, Valentina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Rondinone, Bruna Maria; Boccuni, Fabio; Riccardo, Flavia; Bella, Antonino; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Iavicoli, Sergio; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano. IF: 11.205
  DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2019617118
  URL: https://www.pnas.org/content/118/4/e2019617118.
• Modeling the interplay between demography, social contact patterns, and SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the South West Shewa Zone of Oromia Region, Ethiopia. BMC MEDICINE (2021), Vol. 19(1), pp. 89. Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Galli, Margherita; Zardini, Agnese; Manenti, Fabio; Putoto, Giovanni; Marziano, Valentina; Gamshie, Worku Nigussa; Tsegaye, Ademe; Greblo, Alessandro; Melegaro, Alessia; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Poletti, Piero. IF: 8.775 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-021-01967-wURL: https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-021-01967-w.
• Seroprevalence of and Risk Factors Associated With SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Health Care Workers During the Early COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy. JAMA NETWORK OPEN (2021), Vol. 4(7), pp. e2115699. Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Toso, Claudia; Piatti, Alessandra; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Melegaro, Alessia; Andreassi, Aida; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano. IF: 8.483
  DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.15699
  URL: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2781622?utm_source=silverchair&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=article_alert-jamanetworkopen&utm_content=wklyforyou&utm_term=070721.
• Association of Age With Likelihood of Developing Symptoms and Critical Disease Among Close Contacts Exposed to Patients With Confirmed SARS-CoV-2 Infection in Italy. JAMA NETWORK OPEN (2021), Vol. 4(3), pp. e211085. Poletti, Piero; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Sabatino, Giuliana; Marziano, Valentina; Castrofino, Ambra; Grosso, Francesca; Del Castillo, Gabriele; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Andreassi, Aida; Melegaro, Alessia; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano.IF: 8.483
  DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.1085
  URL: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2777314.
• Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in an area of North-eastern Italy with a high incidence of COVID-19 cases: a population-based study. CLINICAL MICROBIOLOGY AND INFECTION (2021), Vol. 27(4), pp. 633-E1—633-E7. Stefanelli, Paola; Bella, Antonino; Fedele, Giorgio; Pancheri, Serena; Leone, Pasqualina; Vacca, Paola; Neri, Arianna; Carannante, Anna; Fazio, Cecilia; Benedetti, Eleonora; Fiore, Stefano; Fabiani, Concetta; Simmaco, Maurizio; Santino, Iolanda; Zuccali, Maria Grazia; Bizzarri, Giancarlo; Magnoni, Rosa; Benetollo, Pier Paolo; Merler, Stefano; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Ferro, Antonio.IF: 8.067 DOI: 10.1016/j.cmi.2020.11.013
  URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1198743X20307096.
• Impact of a Nationwide Lockdown on SARS-CoV-2 Transmissibility, Italy. EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2021), Vol. 27(1). Guzzetta, Giorgio; Riccardo, Flavia; Marziano, Valentina; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Bella, Antonino; Andrianou, Xanthi; Del Manso, Martina; Fabiani, Massimo; Bellino, Stefania; Boros, Stefano; Urdiales, Alberto Mateo; Vescio, Maria Fenicia; Piccioli, Andrea; Brusaferro, Silvio; Rezza, Giovanni; Pezzotti, Patrizio; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano.IF: 6.883DOI: 10.3201/eid2701.202114URL: https://europepmc.org/article/med/33080168.
• The pressure on healthcare system and intensive care utilization during the COVID-19 outbreak in the Lombardy region: a retrospective observational study on 43,538 hospitalized patients. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY (2021), pp. 137—146. Trentini, Filippo; Marziano, Valentina; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Poletti, Piero; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Barone, Antonio; Preziosi, Giuseppe; Arduini, Fabio; Valle, Petra Giulia Della; Zanella, Alberto; Grosso, Francesca; Castillo, Gabriele; Castrofino, Ambra; Grasselli, Giacomo; Melegaro, Alessia; Piatti, Alessandra; Andreassi, Aida; Gramegna, Maria; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano. IF: 4.897
  DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwab252
  URL: https://academic.oup.com/aje/advance-article/doi/10.1093/aje/kwab252/6397975.
• Aedes albopictus bionomics data collection by citizen participation on Procida Island, a promising Mediterranean site for the assessment of innovative and community-based integrated pest management methods. PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES (2021), Vol. 15(9), pp. e0009698. Caputo, Beniamino; Langella, Giuliano; Petrella, Valeria; Virgillito, Chiara; Manica, Mattia; Filipponi, Federico; Varone, Marianna; Primo, Pasquale; Puggioli, Arianna; Bellini, Romeo; D’Antonio, Costantino; Iesu, Luca; Tullo, Liliana; Rizzo, Ciro; Longobardi, Annalisa; Sollazzo, Germano; Perrotta, Maryanna Martina; Fabozzi, Miriana; Palmieri, Fabiana; Saccone, Giuseppe; Rosà, Roberto; della Torre, Alessandra; Salvemini, Marco. IF: 4.411
  DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009698
  URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0009698.
• The early phase of the COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy. EPIDEMICS (2021), Vol. 37, pp. 100528. Cereda, Danilo; Manica, Mattia; Tirani, Marcello; Rovida, Francesca; Demicheli, Vittorio; Ajelli, Marco; Poletti, Piero; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marziano, Valentina; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Barone, Antonio; Magoni, Michele; Deandrea, Silvia; Diurno, Giulio; Lombardo, Massimo; Faccini, Marino; Pan, Angelo; Bruno, Raffaele; Pariani, Elena; Grasselli, Giacomo; Piatti, Alessandra; Gramegna, Maria; Baldanti, Fausto; Melegaro, Alessia; Merler, Stefano. IF: 4.396 DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100528
  URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436521000724.
• A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters required to investigate COVID-19 burden. EPIDEMICS (2021), Vol. 37, pp. 100530. Zardini, Agnese; Galli, Margherita; Tirani, Marcello; Cereda, Danilo; Manica, Mattia; Trentini, Filippo; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Marziano, Valentina; Piccarreta, Raffaella; Melegaro, Alessia; Ajelli, Marco; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano. IF: 4.396
  DOI: 10.1016/j.epidem.2021.100530
  URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436521000748?via=ihub.
• Individual’s daily behaviour and intergenerational mixing in different social contexts of Kenya. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2021), Vol. 11(1), pp. 21589. Del Fava, Emanuele; Adema, Irene; Kiti, Moses C; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Nokes, D James; Manfredi, Piero; Melegaro, Alessia. IF: 4.379
  DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-00799-1URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-021-00799-1.
• Spring temperature shapes West Nile virus transmission in Europe. ACTA TROPICA (2021), Vol. 215, pp. 105796. Marini, Giovanni; Manica, Mattia; Delucchi, Luca; Pugliese, Andrea; Rosà, Roberto.
  IF: 3.112
  DOI: 10.1016/j.actatropica.2020.105796URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0001706X20317095.
• Modelling arthropod active dispersal using Partial differential equations: the case of the mosquito Aedes albopictus. ECOLOGICAL MODELLING (2021), Vol. 456, pp. 109658. Virgillito, Chiara; Manica, Mattia; Marini, Giovanni; Caputo, Beniamino; Torre, Alessandra della; Rosà, Roberto.
  IF: 2.974DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109658
  URL: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0304380021002180.
• Navigating Concepts in the Human Mind Unravels the Latent Geometry of Its Semantic Space. COMPLEXITY (2021), Vol. 2021, pp. 1—13. Benigni, Barbara; Dallabona, Monica; Bravi, Elena; Merler, Stefano; De Domenico, Manlio IF: 2.833
  DOI: 10.1155/2021/6398407URL: https://www.hindawi.com/journals/complexity/2021/6398407.
• Entomological Survey Confirms Changes in Mosquito Composition and Abundance in Senegal and Reveals Discrepancies among Results by Different Host-Seeking Female Traps. INSECTS (2021), Vol. 12(8), pp. 692. Ngom, El Hadji Malick; Virgillito, Chiara; Manica, Mattia; Rosà, Roberto; Pichler, Verena; Sarleti, Noemi; Kassé, Isseu; Diallo, Mawlouth; della Torre, Alessandra; Dia, Ibrahima; Caputo, Beniamino. IF: 2.769
  DOI: 10.3390/insects12080692URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4450/12/8/692.
• Baseline Characteristics and Outcomes of 1591 Patients Infected With SARS-CoV-2 Admitted to ICUs of the Lombardy Region, Italy. JAMA (2020). Grasselli, Giacomo; Zangrillo, Alberto; Zanella, Alberto; Antonelli, Massimo; Cabrini, Luca; Castelli, Antonio; Cereda, Danilo; Coluccello, Antonio; Foti, Giuseppe; Fumagalli, Roberto; Iotti, Giorgio; Latronico, Nicola; Lorini, Luca; Merler, Stefano; Natalini, Giuseppe; Piatti, Alessandra; Ranieri, Marco Vito; Scandroglio, Anna Mara; Storti, Enrico; Cecconi, Maurizio; Pesenti, Antonio. IF: 56.272
  DOI: 10.1001/jama.2020.5394
  URL: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2764365.
• The effect of travel restrictions on the spread of the 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) outbreak. SCIENCE (2020), Vol. 368(6489), pp. 395—400. Chinazzi, Matteo; Davis, Jessica T; Ajelli, Marco; Gioannini, Corrado; Litvinova, Maria; Merler, Stefano; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Mu, Kunpeng; Rossi, Luca; Sun, Kaiyuan; Viboud, Cécile; Xiong, Xinyue; Yu, Hongjie; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Longini, Ira M; Vespignani, Alessandro. IF: 47.728 DOI: 10.1126/science.aba9757
  URL: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/05/science.aba9757.abstract.
• Changes in contact patterns shape the dynamics of the COVID-19 outbreak in China. SCIENCE (2020), pp. eabb8001. Zhang, Juanjuan; Litvinova, Maria; Liang, Yuxia; Wang, Yan; Wang, Wei; Zhao, Shanlu; Wu, Qianhui; Merler, Stefano; Viboud, Cécile; Vespignani, Alessandro; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie.IF: 47.728 DOI: 10.1126/science.abb8001
  URL: https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/05/04/science.abb8001.full.
• Evolving epidemiology and transmission dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 outside Hubei province, China: a descriptive and modelling study. THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2020). Zhang, Juanjuan; Litvinova, Maria; Wang, Wei; Wang, Yan; Deng, Xiaowei; Chen, Xinghui; Li, Mei; Zheng, Wen; Yi, Lan; Chen, Xinhua; Wu, Qianhui; Liang, Yuxia; Wang, Xiling; Yang, Juan; Sun, Kaiyuan; Longini, Ira M; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Wu, Peng; Cowling, Benjamin J; Merler, Stefano; Viboud, Cecile; Vespignani, Alessandro; Ajelli, Marco; Yu, Hongjie. IF: 25.071
  DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30230-9
  URL: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30230-9/fulltext.
• Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19. NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR (2020). Aleta, Alberto; Martín-Corral, David; Pastore y Piontti, Ana; Ajelli, Marco; Litvinova, Maria; Chinazzi, Matteo; Dean, Natalie E.; Halloran, M. Elizabeth; Longini Jr, Ira M.; Merler, Stefano; Pentland, Alex; Vespignani, Alessandro; Moro, Esteban; Moreno, Yamir.
  IF: 13.663
  DOI: 10.1038/s41562-020-0931-9URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-0931-9.
• Heterogeneity in social and epidemiological factors determines the risk of measles outbreaks. PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA (2020), pp. 201920986. Bosetti, Paolo; Poletti, Piero; Stella, Massimo; Lepri, Bruno; Merler, Stefano; De Domenico, Manlio.IF: 11.205
  DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1920986117URL: https://www.pnas.org/content/early/2020/11/16/1920986117.short.
• Case fatality risk of the first pandemic wave of novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in China. CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2020). Deng, Xiaowei; Yang, Juan; Wang, Wei; Wang, Xiling; Zhou, Jiaxin; Chen, Zhiyuan; Li, Jing; Chen, Yinzi; Yan, Han; Zhang, Juanjuan; Zhang, Yongli; Wang, Yan; Qiu, Qi; Gong, Hui; Wei, Xianglin; Wang, Lili; Sun, Kaiyuan; Wu, Peng; Ajelli, Marco; Cowling, Benjamin J; Viboud, Cecile; Yu, Hongjie.IF: 9.079
  DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciaa578URL: https://academic.oup.com/cid/advance-article/doi/10.1093/cid/ciaa578/5837356.
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• Perspectives on optimal control of varicella and herpes zoster by mass routine varicella vaccination. PROCEEDINGS – ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2016), Vol. 283(1826), pp. 20160054. Betta, Monica; Laurino, Marco; Pugliese, Andrea; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Landi, Alberto; Manfredi, Piero.IF: 4.94DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2016.0054URL: http://rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/283/1826/20160054.full.
• The Epidemiology of Herpes Zoster After Varicella Immunization Under Different Biological Hypotheses: Perspectives From Mathematical Modeling. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY (2016), pp. kwv240. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Manfredi, Piero.IF: 4.825DOI: 10.1093/aje/kwv240URL: http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/early/2016/03/17/aje.kwv240.full.
• Model-Based Comprehensive Analysis of School Closure Policies for Mitigating Influenza Epidemics and Pandemics. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY (2016), Vol. 12(1), pp. e1004681. Fumanelli, Laura; Ajelli, Marco; Merler, Stefano; Ferguson, Neil M; Cauchemez, Simon.IF: 4.542
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• Structural and functional integration between dorsal and ventral language streams as revealed by blunt dissection and direct electrical stimulation. HUMAN BRAIN MAPPING (2016), Vol. 37(11), pp. 3858-3872—3872. Sarubbo, Silvio; De Benedictis, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Mandonnet, Emmanuel; Barbareschi, Mattia; Dallabona, Monica; Chioffi, Franco; Duffau, Hugues. IF: 4.53
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• Containing Ebola at the Source with Ring Vaccination. PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES (2016), Vol. 10(11), pp. e0005093. Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Fumanelli, Laura; Parlamento, Stefano; Pastore Y Piontti, Ana; Dean, Natalie E; Putoto, Giovanni; Carraro, Dante; Longini, Ira M; Halloran, M Elizabeth; Vespignani, Alessandro.IF: 3.834 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0005093 URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosntds/article?id=10.1371/journal.pntd.0005093.
• Potential Risk of Dengue and Chikungunya Outbreaks in Northern Italy Based on a Population Model of Aedes albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae). PLOS NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES (2016), Vol. 10(6), pp. e0004762. Guzzetta, Giorgio; Montarsi, Fabrizio; Baldacchino, Frédéric Alexandre; Metz, Markus; Capelli, Gioia; Rizzoli, Annapaola; Pugliese, Andrea; Rosà, Roberto; Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano.IF: 3.834
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• The Role of Climatic and Density Dependent Factors in Shaping Mosquito Population Dynamics: The Case of Culex pipiens in Northwestern Italy. PLOS ONE (2016), Vol. 11(4), pp. e0154018. Marini, Giovanni; Poletti, Piero; Giacobini, Mario; Pugliese, Andrea; Merler, Stefano; Rosà, Roberto.IF: 2.806 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0154018URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0154018.
• School closure policies at municipality level for mitigating influenza spread: a model-based evaluation. BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2016), Vol. 16(1), pp. 576. Ciavarella, Constanze; Fumanelli, Laura; Merler, Stefano; Cattuto, Ciro; Ajelli, Marco.IF: 2.768 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-016-1918-zURL: https://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12879-016-1918-z.
• Population-level impact, herd immunity, and elimination after human papillomavirus vaccination: a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictions from transmission-dynamic models. THE LANCET PUBLIC HEALTH (2016), Vol. 1(1), pp. e8—e17. Brisson, Marc; Bénard, Élodie; Drolet, Mélanie; Bogaards, Johannes A; Baussano, Iacopo; Vänskä, Simopekka; Jit, Mark; Boily, Marie Claude; Smith, Megan A; Berkhof, Johannes; Canfell, Karen; Chesson, Harrell W; Burger, Emily A; Choi, Yoon H; Blasio, Birgitte Freiesleben De; Vlas, Sake J. De; Guzzetta, Giorgio; Hontelez, Jan A. C; Horn, Johannes; Jepsen, Martin R; Kim, Jane J; Lazzarato, Fulvio; Matthijsse, Suzette M; Mikolajczyk, Rafael; Pavelyev, Andrew; Pillsbury, Matthew; Shafer, Leigh Anne; Tully, Stephen P; Turner, Hugo C; Usher, Cara; Walsh, Cathal.DOI: 10.1016/ S2468-2667(16)30001-9
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• Spatiotemporal spread of the 2014 outbreak of Ebola virus disease in Liberia and the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions: a computational modelling analysis. THE LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2015), Vol. 15(2), pp. 204—211. S Merler; M Ajelli; L Fumanelli; MFC Gomes; A Pastore y Piontti; L Rossi; DL Chao; IM Longini Jr; ME Halloran; A Vespignani. IF: 21.372DOI: 10.1016/S1473-3099(14)71074-6URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1473309914710746.
• The 2014 Ebola virus disease outbreak in Pujehun, Sierra Leone: epidemiology and impact of interventions. BMC MEDICINE (2015), Vol. 13(1), pp. 281. Ajelli, Marco; Parlamento, Stefano; Bome, David; Kebbi, Atiba; Atzori, Andrea; Frasson, Clara; Putoto, Giovanni; Carraro, Dante; Merler, Stefano.IF: 8.005 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-015-0524-z URL: http://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-015-0524-z.
• Evaluating vaccination strategies for reducing infant respiratory syncytial virus infection in low-income settings. BMC MEDICINE (2015), Vol. 13(1), pp. 49. Poletti, Piero; Merler, Stefano; Ajelli, Marco; Manfredi, P; Munywoki, Pk; Nokes, Dj; Melegaro, A..IF: 8.005 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-015-0283-xURL: https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-015-0283-x.
• Towards a functional atlas of human white matter. HUMAN BRAIN MAPPING (2015), Vol. 36(8), pp. 3117—3136. Sarubbo, Silvio; De Benedictis, Alessandro; Merler, Stefano; Mandonnet, Emmanuel; Balbi, Sergio; Granieri, Enrico; Duffau, Hugues. IF: 4.962DOI: 10.1002/hbm.22832
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• The impact of demographic changes on the epidemiology of herpes zoster: Spain as a case study. PROCEEDINGS – ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2015), Vol. 282(1804), pp. 20142509. Marziano V; Poletti P; Guzzetta G; Ajelli M; Manfredi P; Merler S.IF: 4.823
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• Dynamic of Mixed HCV Infection in Plasma and PBMC of HIV/HCV Patients Under Treatment With Peg-IFN/Ribavirin. MEDICINE (2015), Vol. 94(43). Bagaglio, Sabrina; Uberti-Foppa, Caterina; Di Serio, Clelia; Trentini, Filippo; Andolina, Andrea; Hasson, Hamid; Messina, Emanuela; Merli, Marco; Porrino, Lucy; Lazzarin, Adriano; Morsica, Giulia.IF: 2.133
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• Effectiveness of contact investigations for tuberculosis control in Arkansas. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2015), Vol. 380, pp. 238—246. Guzzetta G; Ajelli M; Yang Z; Mukasa LM; Patil N; Bates JH; Kirschner DE; Merler S.IF: 2.049 DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2015.05.031URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519315002660.
• Multivariate determinants of self-management in Health Care: assessing Health Empowerment Model by comparison between structural equation and graphical models approaches. EPIDEMIOLOGY BIOSTATISTICS AND PUBLIC HEALTH (2015), Vol. 12(1). Trentini, Filippo; Malgaroli, Matteo; Camerini, Anne Linda; Di Serio, Clelia; Schulz, Peter.URL: https://ebph.it/article/view/11126.
• The role of different social contexts in shaping influenza transmission during the 2009 pandemic. SCIENTIFIC REPORTS (2014), Vol. 4. Marco Ajelli; Piero Poletti; Alessia Melegaro; Stefano Merler.IF: 5.578DOI: 10.1038/srep07218URL: http://www.nature.com/articles/srep07218.
• Deciphering the relative weights of demographic transition and vaccination in the decrease of measles incidence in Italy. PROCEEDINGS – ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2014), Vol. 281(1777), pp. 20132676. Merler S.; Ajelli M..IF: 5.051
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• The impact of HPV female immunization in Italy: model based predictions. PLOS ONE (2014), Vol. 9(3). Giorgio Guzzetta; Luca Faustini; Donatella Panatto; Roberto Gasparini; Piero Manfredi.IF: 3.234DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0091698URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0091698.
• Survey of tuberculosis drug resistance among Tibetan refugees in India. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TUBERCULOSIS AND LUNG DISEASE (2014), Vol. 18(6), pp. 655—662. Salvo, F; Dorjee, K; Dierberg, K; Cronin, W; Sadutshang, Td; Migliori, Gb; Rodrigues, C; Trentini, F; Di Serio, C; Chaisson, R; Cirillo, D. M..IF: 2.315URL: https://www.ingentaconnect.com/content/iuatld/ijtld/2014/00000018/00000006/art00007%3bjsessionid=1n04urlg1en6i.x-ic-live-01.
• Estimating measles transmission potential in Italy over the period 2010-2011. ANNALI DELL’ISTITUTO SUPERIORE DI SANITÀ (2014), Vol. 50(4). M. Ajelli; S. Merler; L. Fumanelli; A. Bella; C. Rizzo.IF: 1.111DOI: 10.4415/ANN_14_04_10URL: http://www.scielosp.org/scielo.php?pid=S0021-25712014000400010&script=sci_arttext.
• Coexpression of CD49b and LAG-3 identifies human and mouse T regulatory type 1 cells. NATURE MEDICINE (2013), Vol. 19(6), pp. 739—746. Gagliani, Nicola; Magnani, Chiara F; Huber, Samuel; Gianolini, Monica E; Pala, Mauro; Licona-Limon, Paula; Guo, Binggege; De’Broski, R Herbert; Bulfone, Alessandro; Trentini, Filippo; Others,. IF: 28.054
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• Containing the accidental laboratory escape of potential pandemic influenza viruses. BMC MEDICINE (2013), Vol. 11, pp. 252. S Merler; M Ajelli;L Fumanelli; A Vespignani.IF: 7.276 DOI: 10.1186/1741-7015-11-252URL: http://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1741-7015-11-252.
• Hope-Simpson’s Progressive Immunity Hypothesis as a Possible Explanation for Herpes Zoster Incidence Data. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY (2013), Vol. 177(10), pp. 1134—1142. G. Guzzetta; P. Poletti; E. Del Fava; M. Ajelli; G. Scalia Tomba; S. Merler; P. Manfredi.IF: 4.975DOI: 10.1093/aje/kws370URL: http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/177/10/1134.full.
• A Combinatorial Model of Malware Diffusion via Bluetooth Connections. PLOS ONE (2013), Vol. 8(3), pp. e59468. S. Merler; G. Jurman.IF: 3.534 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0059468
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• Pandemic Influenza A/H1N1pdm in Italy: Age, Risk and Population Susceptibility. PLOS ONE (2013), Vol. 8(10), pp. e74785. Merler S.; Ajelli M.; Camilloni B.; Puzelli S.; Bella A.; Rota M.C.; Tozzi A.E.; Muraca M.; Meledandri M.; Iorio A.M.; Donatelli I.; Rizzo C.IF: 3.534DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0074785URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0074785.
• Perspectives on the Impact of Varicella Immunization on Herpes Zoster. A Model-Based Evaluation from Three European Countries. PLOS ONE (2013), Vol. 8, pp. e60732. Piero Poletti;Alessia Melegaro;Marco Ajelli;Emanuele del Fava;Giorgio Guzzetta;Luca Faustini;Giampaolo Scalia Tomba;Pierluigi Lopalco;Caterina Rizzo;Stefano Merler;Piero Manfredi.IF: 3.534 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0060732URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0060732.
• The Roles of Immune Memory and Aging in Protective Immunity and Endogenous Reactivation of Tuberculosis. PLOS ONE (2013), Vol. 8(4), pp. e60425. G. Guzzetta; D. Kirschner.IF: 3.534DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0060425URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0060425.
• Bayesian mixture models for assessment of gene differential behaviour and prediction of pCR through the Integration of copy number and gene expression data. PLOS ONE (2013), Vol. 8(7). Trentini, Filippo; Ji, Yuan; Iwamoto, Takayuki; Qi, Yuan; Pusztai, Lajos; Muller, Peter.IF: 3.534DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0068071URL: https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0068071.
• Inferring the Structure of Social Contacts from Demographic Data in the Analysis of Infectious Diseases Spread. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY (2012), Vol. 8(9), pp. e1002673. L. Fumanelli; M. Ajelli; P. Manfredi; A. Vespignani; S. Merler.IF: 4.867 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002673URL: http://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002673.
• Transmission Potential and Design of Adequate Control Measures for Marburg Hemorrhagic Fever. PLOS ONE (2012). M. Ajelli; S. Merler.IF: 3.73DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0050948URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0050948.
• The interplay of public intervention and private choices in determining the outcome of vaccination programmes. PLOS ONE (2012), Vol. 7(10). Alberto d’Onofrio; Piero Manfredi; Piero Poletti.IF: 3.73DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0045653URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0045653.
• Risk perception and effectiveness of uncoordinated behavioral responses in an emerging epidemic. MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES (2012), Vol. 238(2), pp. 80—89. P. Poletti; M. Ajelli; S. Merler.IF: 1.454 DOI: 10.1016/j.mbs.2012.04.003URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0025556412000892.
• Determinants of the spatiotemporal dynamics of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic in Europe: implications for real-time modelling. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY (2011), Vol. 7(9). S. Merler; M. Ajelli; A. Pugliese; N.M. Ferguson.IF: 5.215DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002205URL: http://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002205.
• Evaluation of model prediction during the early phase of the 2009 influenza pandemic in Italy. INFLUENZA AND OTHER RESPIRATORY VIRUSES (2011), Vol. 5(Suppl. 1), pp. 222—226. M. Ajelli; A. Pugliese; S. Merler; S. Declich; C. Rizzo.IF: 4.157
• Transmission potential of Chikungunya virus and control measures: the case of Italy. PLOS ONE (2011), Vol. 6(5), pp. e18860. Poletti P.; Messeri G.; Ajelli M.; Vallorani R.; Rizzo C.; Merler S..IF: 4.092DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0018860URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0018860.
• The effect of risk perception on the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza dynamics. PLOS ONE (2011), Vol. 6(2), pp. e16460. P. Poletti; M. Ajelli; S. Merler.IF: 4.092 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0016460URL: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0016460.
• Epidemiology and transmission dynamics of the 1918-19 pandemic influenza in Florence, Italy. VACCINE (2011), Vol. 29(S2), pp. B27—B32. C. Rizzo; M. Ajelli; S. Merler; A. Pugliese; I. Barbetta; S. Salmaso; P. Manfredi.IF: 3.766URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X11002842.
• Model predictions and evaluation of possible control strategies for the 2009 A/H1N1v influenza pandemic in Italy. EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION (2011), Vol. 139(1), pp. 68—79. M. Ajelli; S. Merler; A. Pugliese; C. Rizzo.IF: 2.843DOI: 10.1017/S0950268810001317URL: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/epidemiology-and-infection/article/model-predictions-and-evaluation-of-possible-control-strategies-for-the-2009-ah1n1v-influenza-pandemic-in-italy/6EDBDCA037463FEDC1B00455F0FBD148/core-reader.
• The impact of vaccine side effects on the natural history of immunization programmes: An imitation-game approach. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2011), Vol. 273(1), pp. 63—71. A. d’Onofrio; P. Manfredi; P. Poletti.IF: 2.208DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2010.12.029URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519310006843.
• Modeling socio-demography to capture tuberculosis transmission dynamics in a low burden setting. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2011), Vol. 289, pp. 197—205. G. Guzzetta; M. Ajelli; Z. Yang; S. Merler; C. Furlanello; D. Kirschner.IF: 2.208DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.08.032URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519311004358.
• Spatiotemporal dynamics of viral hepatitis A in Italy. THEORETICAL POPULATION BIOLOGY (2011), Vol. 79(1-2), pp. 1—11. M. Ajelli; L. Fumanelli; P. Manfredi; S. Merler.IF: 1.65DOI: 10.1016/j.tpb.2010.09.003URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040580910000912.
• Little-Italy: an Agent-Based Approach to the Estimation of Contact Patterns. Fitting Predicted Matrices to Serological Data.. PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY (2010), Vol. 6(12), pp. e1001021. F. Iozzi; F. Trusiano; M. Chinazzi; F. Billari; E. Zagheni; S. Merler; M. Ajelli; E. Del Fava; P. Manfredi.IF: 5.515DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1001021URL: http://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1001021.
• The role of population heterogeneity and human mobility in the spread of pandemic influenza.. PROCEEDINGS – ROYAL SOCIETY. BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES (2010), Vol. 277(1681), pp. 557—565. Stefano Merler; Marco Ajelli.IF: 5.064DOI: 10.1098/rspb.2009.1605URL: http://rspb.royalsocietypublishing.org/content/277/1681/557.short.
• A machine learning pipeline for quantitative phenotype prediction from genotype data. BMC BIOINFORMATICS (2010), Vol. 11(Suppl 8), pp. S3. G. Guzzetta; G. Jurman; C. Furlanello.IF: 3.029URL: http://bmcbioinformatics.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1471-2105-11-S8-S3.
• Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models. BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2010), Vol. 10, pp. 190—202. M. Ajelli; B. Goncalves; D. Balcan; V. Colizza; H. Hu; J.J. Ramasco; S. Merler; A. Vespignani.IF: 2.825DOI: 10.1186/1471-2334-10-190URL: http://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1471-2334-10-190.
• Chikungunya virus in North-Eastern Italy: a seroprevalence survey. AMERICAN JOURNAL OF TROPICAL MEDICINE AND HYGIENE (2010), Vol. 82(3), pp. 508—511. Angelini, P; Bellini, R; Bevilacqua, L; Bianco, C; Biondi, E; Dottori, M; Francia, F; Frasca, G; Gargiulo, S; Ghiselli, F; Majori, G; Merler, S; Palazzi, M; Po, C; Ragazzi, D; Rizzo, C; Samorè, T; Tamba, M; Venturelli, C..IF: 2.446DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0322URL: http://www.ajtmh.org/content/journals/10.4269/ajtmh.2010.09-0322.
• Human mobility and population heterogeneity in the spread of an epidemic. PROCEDIA COMPUTER SCIENCE (2010), Vol. 1(1), pp. 2237—2244. S. Merler; M. Ajelli.DOI: 10.1016/j.procs.2010.04.250URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1877050910002516.
• Optimal vaccination choice, vaccination games, and rational exemption: an appraisal. VACCINE (2009), Vol. 28(1), pp. 98—109. P. Manfredi; P. della Posta; A. d’Onofrio; E. Salinelli; F. Centrone; C. Meo; P. Poletti.IF: 3.616URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X09014698.
• On the relationship between meningococcal transmission dynamics and disease: Remarks on humoral immunity.. VACCINE (2009), Vol. 27(25/26), pp. 3429—3434. Giorgio Guzzetta; Piero Manfredi; R. Gasparini; D. Panatto; W.J. Edmunds.IF: 3.616URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X09001157.
• An individual-based model of hepatitis A transmission.. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2009), Vol. 259(3), pp. 478—488. Marco Ajelli; Stefano Merler.IF: 2.574URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519309001465.
• Spontaneous behavioural changes in response to epidemics.. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2009), Vol. 260(1), pp. 31—40. Piero Poletti; Bruno Caprile; Marco Ajelli; Andrea Pugliese; Stefano Merler.IF: 2.574DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2009.04.029URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022519309002021.
• Age-prioritized use of antivirals during an influenza pandemic.. BMC INFECTIOUS DISEASES (2009), Vol. 9, pp. 117—117. Stefano Merler; Marco Ajelli; Caterina Rizzo.IF: 2.55URL: http://bmcinfectdis.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1471-2334-9-117.
• Machine learning methods for predictive proteomics. BRIEFINGS IN BIOINFORMATICS (2008), Vol. 9(2), pp. 119—128. A. Barla; G. Jurman; S. Riccadonna; M. Chierici; S. Merler; C. Furlanello.IF: 4.627DOI: 10.1093/bib/bbn008URL: http://bib.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/abstract/bbn008v1.
• Algebraic stability indicators for ranked lists in molecular profiling. BIOINFORMATICS (2008), Vol. 24(2), pp. 258—264. G. Jurman; S. Merler; A. Barla; S. Paoli; A. Galea; C. Furlanello.IF: 4.328URL: http://bioinformatics.oxfordjournals.org/cgi/content/short/btm550v1.
• Basic mathematical models for the temporal dynamics of HAV in medium-endemicity Italian areas. VACCINE (2008), Vol. 26(13), pp. 1697—1707. M. Ajelli; M. Iannelli; P. Manfredi; M.L. Ciofi degli Atti.IF: 3.298URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264410X07014855.
• Coinfection can trigger multiple pandemic waves. JOURNAL OF THEORETICAL BIOLOGY (2008), Vol. 254(2), pp. 499—507. Merler, Stefano; Poletti, Piero; Ajelli, Marco; Caprile, Bruno Giovanni; P., Manfredi.IF: 2.454DOI: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2008.06.004URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science?_ob=ArticleURL&_udi=B6WMD-4SSG53K-1&_user=1613343&_coverDate=09/21/2008&_rdoc=1&_fmt=high&_orig=search&_sort=d&_docanchor=&view=c&_acct=C000053963&_version=1&_urlVersion=0&_userid=1613343&md5=98949ff85d0c64606e458b00f5c5d4a0.
• Integrating gene expression profiling and clinical data. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPROXIMATE REASONING (2008), Vol. 47(1), pp. 58—69. S. Paoli; G. Jurman; D. Albanese; S. Merler; C. Furlanello.IF: 1.708DOI: doi:10.1016/j.ijar.2007.03.012URL: http://portal.acm.org/citation.cfm?id=1322569.1322654.
• Mitigation measures for pandemic influenza in Italy: an individual based model considering different scenarios. PLOS ONE (2008), Vol. 3(3), pp. e1790. M. Ciofi degli Atti; S. Merler; C. Rizzo; M. Ajelli; M. Massari; P. Manfredi; C. Furlanello; G. Scalia Tomba; M. Iannelli.DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0001790URL: http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0001790.
• The Impact of the Unstructured Contacts Component in Influenza Pandemic Modeling. PLOS ONE (2008), Vol. 3(1), pp. e1519. M. Ajelli; S. Merler.DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0001519URL: http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi%2F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0001519.
• A grid environment for high-throughput proteomics.. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON NANOBIOSCIENCE (2007), Vol. 6(2), pp. 117—123. M. Cannataro; A. Barla; R. Flor; A. Gallo; G. Jurman; S. Merler; S. Paoli; G. Tradigo; P. Veltri; C. Furlanello.IF: 1.899
• Parallelizing AdaBoost by weights dynamics.. COMPUTATIONAL STATISTICS & DATA ANALYSIS (2007), Vol. 51(5), pp. 2487—2498. S. Merler; B. Caprile; C. Furlanello..IF: 1.029URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167947306003239.
• Modelling scenarios of diffusion and control of pandemic influenza, Italy. EUROSURVEILLANCE (2007), Vol. 12(1), pp. E070104.2. Marta Luisa Ciofi degli Atti; Caterina Rizzo; Antonino Bella; Marco Massari; Mimmo Iannelli; Antonella Lunelli; Andrea Pugliese; Jordi Ripoll; Piero Manfredi; Giampaolo Scalia Tomba; Stefano Merler; Giuseppe Jurman; Cesare Furlanello.URL: http://www.eurosurveillance.org/ViewArticle.aspx?ArticleId=3105.
• Supervised classification of combined copy number and gene expression data.. JOURNAL OF INTEGRATIVE BIOINFORMATICS (2007), Vol. 4(3), pp. 74. S. Riccadonna; G. Jurman; S. Merler; S. Paoli; A. Quattrone; C. Furlanello..
• Terminated Ramp – Support Vector Machine: a nonparametric data dependent kernel. NEURAL NETWORKS (2006), Vol. 19, pp. 1597—1611. S. Merler; G. Jurman.IF: 2URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0893608006000219.
• Combining feature selection and DTW for time-varying functional genomics. IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON SIGNAL PROCESSING (2006), Vol. 54(6), pp. 2436—2443. C. Furlanello; S. Merler; G. Jurman..IF: 1.57
• An integrated toolbox for image registration, fusion and classification. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOINFORMATICS (2005), pp. 51—61. M. Neteler; D. Grasso; I. Michelazzi; L. Miori; S. Merler; C. Furlanello.URL: http://www.tiny.cc/2oIkk.
• Semisupervised Learning for Molecular Profiling. IEEE/ACM TRANSACTIONS ON COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY AND BIOINFORMATICS (2005), pp. 110—118. C. Furlanello; M. Serafini; S. Merler; G. Jurman.
• Bias-Variance Control via Hard Points Shaving. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PATTERN RECOGNITION AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (2004), Vol. 18(5), pp. 891—903. S. Merler; B. Caprile; C. Furlanello.IF: 0.588
• Methods for predictive classification and molecular profiling from DNA microarray data. ITALIAN HEART JOURNAL (2004), Vol. 5(1), pp. 199—202. C. Furlanello; M. Serafini; S. Merler; G. Jurman.
• Bias-Variance Control via Hard Points Shaving. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PATTERN RECOGNITION AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE (2003), Vol. 18. Stefano Merler; Bruno Caprile; Cesare Furlanello.
• Entropy-based gene ranking without selection bias for the predictive classification of microarray data. BMC BIOINFORMATICS (2003), pp. 54—73. Cesare Furlanello; Maria Serafini; Stefano Merler; Giuseppe Jurman.URL: http://bmcbioinformatics.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/1471-2105-4-54.
• Automatic model selection in cost-sensitive boosting. INFORMATION FUSION (2003), Vol. 4(1), pp. 3—10. Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; Barbara Larcher; Andrea Sboner.
• Geographical Information Systems and Bootstrap Aggregation (Bagging) of Tree-Based Classifiers for Lyme Disease Risk Assessment in Trentino, Italian Alps. JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY (2002), pp. 485—492. Annamaria Rizzoli; Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; C. Chemini; C. Genchi.
• New WEBGIS technologies for geolocation of epidemiological data: an application for the surveillance of the risk of Lyme borreliosis disease. GIORNALE ITALIANO DI ARITMOLOGIA E CARDIOSTIMOLAZIONE (2002), pp. 241—245. Cesare Furlanello; Stefano Merler; Stefano Menegon; S. Mancuso; G. Bertiato.
• Searching for Mechanisms of Synchrony in Spatially Structured Gamebird Populations. JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY (2000), pp. 620—638. I. Cattadori; Stefano Merler; P.J. Hudson.URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1046/j.1365-2656.2000.00421.x/full.
• Synchrony, scale and temporal dynamics of rock partridge populations in the Dolomite. JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY (1999), pp. 540—549. I. Cattadori; P.J. Hudson; Stefano Merler; Annamaria Rizzoli.URL: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1046/j.1365-2656.1999.00302.x/full.
• Ixodes Ricinus (Acari: Ixodidae) Infestation on Roe Deer (Capreolus Capreolus) in Trentino, Italian Alps. PARASSITOLOGIA (1997), Vol. 39, pp. 59—63. C. Chemini; Annamaria Rizzoli; Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; C. Genchi.
• Speaker Normalization and Model Selection of Combined Neural Nets. CONNECTION SCIENCE (1997), Vol. 9(1), pp. 31—50. Cesare Furlanello; Diego Giuliani; Edmondo Trentin; Stefano Merler.
• Selection of Tree-Based Classifiers with the Bootstrap 632+ Rule. BIOMETRICAL JOURNAL (1997), pp. 369—382. Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello.
• Classification Tree Methods for Analysis of Mesoscale Distribution of Ixodes ricinus (Acari: Ixodidae) in Trentino, Italian Alps. JOURNAL OF MEDICAL ENTOMOLOGY (1996), pp. 887—893. Stefano Merler; Cesare Furlanello; C. Chemini; G. Nicolini.